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Max Verstappen’s Future in F1: Will Red Bull Keep Their Superstar or Will Mercedes and Aston Martin Steal Him Away?

Virgilio Machado by Virgilio Machado
February 10, 2025
in Motorsports
Reading Time: 5 mins read
0
Max Verstappen’s Future in F1: Will Red Bull Keep Their Superstar or Will Mercedes and Aston Martin Steal Him Away?

ABU DHABI, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - DECEMBER 08: Max Verstappen of the Netherlands and Oracle Red Bull Racing looks on at the Oracle Red Bull Racing team photo in the Pitlane prior to the F1 Grand Prix of Abu Dhabi at Yas Marina Circuit on December 08, 2024 in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. (Photo by Clive Mason/Getty Images) // Getty Images / Red Bull Content Pool // SI202412080079 // Usage for editorial use only //

Max Verstappen has been the dominant force in Formula 1, but the long-term security of his Red Bull dynasty is anything but guaranteed. With Mercedes circling and Aston Martin making aggressive moves, the reigning world champion is at the center of the biggest driver market battle in modern F1 history.

Red Bull insists all is well, with team principal Christian Horner downplaying speculation and emphasizing Verstappen’s “open relationship” with the team. But the reality is far more complicated—and Red Bull knows it.

A Crumbling Red Bull Empire? Verstappen’s Growing Doubts

Despite securing his fourth consecutive title in 2024, Verstappen has openly questioned his future at Red Bull. The turmoil within the team—Horner’s internal investigation, high-profile staff exits, and a 10-race winless streak—has fueled rumors that he could walk away from the energy drink powerhouse before his contract expires in 2028.

Verstappen himself admitted in Las Vegas that doubts about his future have already crossed his mind:

“Every year, there are always thoughts going through your head: How long do I still want to do this? Where do I want to do this? How do I want to do this?”

While he remains loyal to Red Bull, acknowledging that they took a chance on him in 2014, Verstappen made it clear that nothing is set in stone.

“I’m not someone that makes drastic decisions, but I also appreciate everything the team has done for me. I’m very happy where I am at the moment.”

These words leave a door wide open—and Mercedes and Aston Martin are already knocking.

Mercedes: Toto Wolff’s Master Plan to Land Verstappen

With Lewis Hamilton now at Ferrari, Mercedes needs a new superstar, and Toto Wolff is going all-in on Verstappen.

Wolff has publicly and privately pursued Verstappen, making it clear that he wants the Dutchman to lead Mercedes into F1’s new regulation era in 2026.

Even more revealing? Verstappen’s management team has already spoken with Mercedes. The talks may not have led to an immediate deal, but the fact that discussions even happened suggests that Verstappen is at least listening to offers.

Aston Martin: A Dark Horse in the Race for Max?

Aston Martin might not seem like the obvious destination for Verstappen, but their rapid expansion and deep financial backing make them a real threat.

The team has:

  • Built a state-of-the-art factory in Silverstone
  • Secured major investments for its F1 program
  • Lured legendary designer Adrian Newey away from Red Bull

Rumors are swirling that Aston Martin has told potential sponsors that Verstappen is in their long-term plans. With Fernando Alonso nearing the end of his career, Aston Martin needs a future leader—and Verstappen would be the ultimate statement signing.

Christian Horner’s Defense: Red Bull Isn’t Worried—Yet

Despite all the speculation, Christian Horner remains defiant, insisting that Verstappen isn’t going anywhere.

“Max has a very open relationship with the team. We discuss things openly, as in any partnership.”

Horner believes that Red Bull’s bond with Verstappen, which dates back to his teenage years, will keep him loyal.

“He’s made very clear what his position is towards the team. Of course, you’re always going to discuss things behind closed doors—that’s normal.”

But in Formula 1, loyalty only lasts as long as a car remains competitive. And if Red Bull struggles under the 2026 regulations, Verstappen may decide that his best chance at furthering his legacy lies elsewhere.

The Verdict: Will Verstappen Stay or Go?

Right now, Verstappen is staying put—but the battle for his services is far from over.

  • If Red Bull remains dominant, Verstappen will likely continue his reign.
  • If Mercedes builds a title-winning car for 2026, expect Toto Wolff to launch an all-out assault to steal him away.
  • If Aston Martin continues its rapid rise, they could shock the world and land F1’s biggest prize.

One thing is certain: Max Verstappen holds all the power in this situation. And when his next move comes, it could reshape the entire landscape of Formula 1.

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