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Guenther Steiner’s Bold Advice to Verstappen: ‘Leave Red Bull If They Can’t Deliver’

Harry Bright by Harry Bright
February 7, 2025
in Motorsports
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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Guenther Steiner’s Bold Advice to Verstappen: ‘Leave Red Bull If They Can’t Deliver’

ABU DHABI, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - DECEMBER 08: 6th placed Max Verstappen of the Netherlands and Oracle Red Bull Racing looks on in parc ferme during the F1 Grand Prix of Abu Dhabi at Yas Marina Circuit on December 08, 2024 in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. (Photo by Rudy Carezzevoli/Getty Images) // Getty Images / Red Bull Content Pool // SI202412080219 // Usage for editorial use only //

The Formula 1 chessboard is shifting, and Max Verstappen’s next move could define the sport’s landscape for years. Former Haas team principal Guenther Steiner believes the Dutch sensation should seriously consider leaving Red Bull after 2026—but only if the team fails to stay competitive under the incoming regulations.

With a £1 billion offer from Aston Martin reportedly in play, Verstappen’s future is a topic of heated debate. But should he take the money and jump ship, or wait to see if Red Bull can maintain their dominance? According to Steiner, patience is the key.

The £1 Billion Temptation: A Fantasy or Reality?

Rumors have swirled that Aston Martin is actively courting Verstappen, dangling a mind-blowing £1 billion package as part of a broader plan to attract sponsors and establish itself as a true title contender. The Silverstone-based squad has already secured Adrian Newey, Red Bull’s legendary design genius, and will partner with Honda for power units in 2026, making them a legitimate dark horse for F1’s next chapter.

While Steiner initially suggested that Verstappen should take the money no matter what, he has since walked back his stance. The ex-Haas boss now argues that Verstappen should hold off until 2026, evaluating Red Bull’s performance under the new regulations before making any drastic career decisions.

“A billion is a big number, even if Max finishes last, he should go for a billion,” Steiner initially joked. But now, he has taken a more strategic view.

“Just wait out ‘26,” he advised. “If the team is not good, he can leave after ‘26 because that’s the key.”

Is Red Bull Losing Its Grip?

Verstappen’s 2024 season wasn’t as smooth as previous years. While he still clinched his fourth consecutive world championship, mid-season struggles with Red Bull’s RB20 car raised concerns about the team’s ability to sustain dominance. Adding to the uncertainty is the ongoing internal tension within the team, with questions surrounding Christian Horner’s leadership and the long-term commitment of Red Bull’s senior management.

Both Horner and Red Bull’s motorsport advisor Helmut Marko have publicly stated that securing Verstappen’s loyalty is a top priority heading into 2025. However, with new regulations set to shake up the pecking order in 2026, there are no guarantees that Red Bull will still be the team to beat.

“If the car is good in ‘26, it would be good for another three or four years,” Steiner explained. “If you start on a new regulation, the new concept, the car, it takes you quite a while to get out of it.”

2027: The Year of the Great Driver Shake-Up?

If Verstappen does decide to leave Red Bull, 2027 could be the year of a seismic driver market shift.

Both Lewis Hamilton and Fernando Alonso will be out of contract after 2026, opening the door for Verstappen to take their seat at either Mercedes or Aston Martin.

Steiner believes this will be crucial in Verstappen’s decision-making process. “That solves the problem,” he said, implying that one of F1’s top teams will likely have an opening should Red Bull falter.

Is Aston Martin’s £1 Billion Offer Realistic?

The jaw-dropping £1 billion figure attached to Aston Martin’s offer has raised plenty of eyebrows, with many doubting its legitimacy.

Steiner himself admitted skepticism, calling the rumored price tag “a bit fictional.”

“That’s a bit high because that would set the record, which will never be broken again,” he noted. “But I’m sure Aston Martin will pay a good amount of money for him.”

Whether or not Aston Martin is willing to break the bank, one thing is clear: Lawrence Stroll is serious about transforming the team into a championship contender. With Newey on board, Honda backing the project, and a brand-new factory in full operation, Aston Martin is making a compelling case for Verstappen to consider a future outside Red Bull.

The Big Question: Will Verstappen Stay or Go?

While Verstappen is contractually tied to Red Bull until 2028, performance clauses could allow him to leave sooner if the team fails to remain competitive.

Steiner believes 2026 will be the defining moment. If Red Bull struggles, Verstappen should walk away. If they thrive under the new regulations, there may be no need to gamble on Aston Martin or Mercedes.

The Dutch superstar faces a career-defining choice:

  • Stay with Red Bull and potentially continue his dominance
  • Move to Aston Martin and lead a new era under Newey and Honda
  • Wait for an opportunity at Mercedes if Hamilton retires

For now, Verstappen holds all the power, and the entire Formula 1 world will be watching as he weighs his next move.

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