George Russell, the well-regarded P4, has made a bold prediction for the 2025 F1 championship, stating that McLaren’s commanding lead puts them in a prime position to clinch the title. He asserts that McLaren’s advantageous position permits them to shift their focus to 2026 and maintain their dominance in the sport.
McLaren kicked off 2025 in grand style, seizing a front-row lockout right from the first qualifying session. Russell surmises that this winning streak is set to continue, given the team’s significant lead over competitors like Mercedes, Red Bull, and Ferrari.
The Woking-based team established their leadership early on, even as other expected front runners were just finding their footing. Barring minor early-stage mishaps in Q3, such as Lando Norris’s deleted lap due to track limits, McLaren dictated the pace, finishing a remarkable 0.301 seconds ahead of other teams.
Russell’s confidence in McLaren’s championship potential stems from their impressive performance thus far. He said, “They’re at such an advantage because they can stop development now and go fully [focus] on ‘26 and it’s difficult to overcome that gap.”
Explaining why McLaren’s 2025 start is distinct from Red Bull’s initial surge in 2024, Russell pointed out that the Milton Keynes team had started strongly but later slipped, allowing McLaren to claim the Constructors’ trophy by the year-end. He believes that Red Bull’s decline was not due to competitors outpacing them in development, but rather their own counterproductive modifications to the car.
“Because if you’ve got a six-tenths advantage at the start of a year, nobody finds six tenths throughout the course of a year,” Russell observed, reinforcing McLaren’s promising position for the current season and beyond.
According to Russell, the secret behind McLaren’s success is their unique handling of their tyres. He drew attention to their performance in Singapore, their recovery in Vegas, and their race pace in Bahrain, attributing it all to their mastery of tyre management.
Moving beyond McLaren, Russell sees Red Bull, Ferrari, and Mercedes as being at par but warns that the grid can spring surprises. He acknowledged the potential of other players like Yuki Tsunoda and Isak Hadjar who have shown remarkable competitiveness. Williams, too, is demonstrating promising signs of quality pace, making the 2025 championship race all the more exciting to watch.
In closing, Russell’s early prediction of McLaren’s win and their ability to focus on the 2026 season serves as a testament to their command of the F1 field. Yet, the season remains unpredictable with other potential dark horses in the race. As the championship unfolds, all eyes will be on how teams adapt and strive to close the gap with McLaren.