The 2025 Formula 1 season is shaping up to be one of the most competitive in recent history, and oddsmakers are taking notice.
For the first time in years, Red Bull’s Max Verstappen is NOT the clear-cut favorite for the title. Instead, McLaren’s Lando Norris leads the betting odds at 9/4, narrowly ahead of Verstappen (5/2) and Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc (4/1).
With new driver lineups, major team shifts, and Red Bull no longer the dominant force, bookmakers believe the championship is wide open—and the odds reflect just how unpredictable 2025 could be.
2025 F1 Drivers’ Championship Odds
🔹 Lando Norris (McLaren) – 9/4 🏆 (Favorite)
🔹 Max Verstappen (Red Bull) – 5/2
🔹 Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) – 4/1
🔹 Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari) – 11/2
🔹 Oscar Piastri (McLaren) – 8/1
🔹 George Russell (Mercedes) – 11/1
🔹 Liam Lawson (Red Bull) – 35/1
What Do the Odds Tell Us?
1️⃣ Lando Norris is the new title favorite.
- After pushing Verstappen hard in 2024, bookies believe this could be his year.
- McLaren’s performance gains last season have carried into 2025, making Norris the driver to beat.
2️⃣ Red Bull is no longer the undisputed powerhouse.
- Verstappen is still in the mix, but the team’s odds have slipped significantly following Adrian Newey’s rumored departure and Liam Lawson’s promotion to lead driver.
- Red Bull at 4/1 in the Constructors’ race? That’s unheard of in the past four years.
3️⃣ Ferrari is expected to be a title contender.
- Leclerc (4/1) and Hamilton (11/2) both have solid odds, indicating that bookmakers believe Ferrari could finally be back at the top.
- If Hamilton can adapt quickly to Ferrari, an eighth title isn’t out of the question.
4️⃣ Mercedes is a long shot without Hamilton.
- Russell sits at 11/1, but Mercedes as a whole has slipped to a 12/1 outsider in the Constructors’ race.
- They aren’t expected to be title contenders in 2025.
2025 Constructors’ Championship Odds
🔹 Ferrari – 5/4 (Joint Favorite)
🔹 McLaren – 5/4 (Joint Favorite)
🔹 Red Bull – 4/1
🔹 Mercedes – 12/1
🔹 Aston Martin – 50/1
🔹 Williams, Racing Bulls, Haas, Sauber, Alpine – 500/1
Key Takeaways from the Constructors’ Odds
🚀 Ferrari and McLaren are set for a two-horse race.
- Both teams are now co-favorites at 5/4, suggesting that they’re expected to battle for the championship all season long.
- Ferrari’s driver lineup (Leclerc & Hamilton) is its strongest in years.
- McLaren’s resurgence has made them legitimate title contenders for the first time since the Lewis Hamilton era.
📉 Red Bull’s downward shift is real.
- At 4/1, Red Bull’s odds reflect a significant performance drop after losing key personnel and Verstappen’s full trust in the car.
- Liam Lawson is talented, but he’s not a guaranteed race-winning machine yet.
❌ Mercedes is no longer a top-three team.
- With odds of 12/1, they are seen as midfield players rather than contenders.
- A lack of major gains in 2024 has left doubts about their competitiveness.
💰 Williams, Alpine, Haas, and others are complete long shots.
- All of them are at 500/1, meaning bookies see ZERO chance of an upset.
What’s Next? How Will Testing Shift the Odds?
While these early odds give a strong indication of where teams stand, they aren’t final. The real pecking order will become clearer during:
📍 Pre-season testing in Bahrain (Feb 26-28)
📍 Q3 of the Australian Grand Prix Qualifying (March 15)
Until then, Lando Norris remains the bookies’ top pick for 2025, while Ferrari and McLaren are expected to go head-to-head for the Constructors’ crown.
